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下载交易平台II流动版

18.02.2021 13:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: GBP/USD: plan for the US session on February 18 (analysis of morning trades)

In my morning forecast, I paid attention to the level of 1.3843 and recommended acting on it. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and talk about 下载交易平台II流动版 where and how you could earn money. The unsuccessful attempt of the bears to continue the downward trend led to the formation of a false breakout in the support area of 1.3843. In this scenario, even in my morning forecast, I 下载交易平台II流动版 recommended opening long positions. Everything happened exactly according to the script. The target was the resistance of 下载交易平台II流动版 1.3899, which the pound reached without a single correction, thereby proving the presence of a large 下载交易平台II流动版 buyer in the market. We will analyze the scenario for further purchases below.

Exchange Rates 18.02.2021 analysis

The best option for building 下载交易平台II流动版 up long positions is a downward correction to 下载交易平台II流动版 the support area of 1.3899, where the formation of a false breakout forms a convenient entry point into long positions in the continuation of the 下载交易平台II流动版 下载交易平台II流动版 bull market. It is important to understand: the growth from this level should be quite rapid with an update of the highs of today and preferably with a resistance test of 1.3949, where I recommend taking the profits. If there is 下载交易平台II流动版 no downward correction, then we will focus on the level of 1.3949, but I recommend buying 下载交易平台II流动版 from it only in the case of a breakthrough 下载交易平台II流动版 and a test of this area from top to bottom, along with bad data on the US labor market and real estate. In this case, we can expect to reach the new resistance area of 1.3993. If there is no activity on the part of the bulls in the support area of 1.3899, I recommend postponing long positions until the test of the minimum of 1.下载交易平台II流动版 3843, from which you can open long positions immediately on the rebound to correct 25-30 points within 下载交易平台II流动版 the day. There is also the lower border of the current ascending channel.

To open short positions on GBP/USD, you need to:

The bears did not cope with the initial task, and now all their attention will be focused on the resistance of 1.3949. However, the formation of a false breakout will be a signal to open short positions on the pound. The main goal will be the return of GBP/USD to the support area of 1.3899. To say that the bears managed 下载交易平台II流动版 to repel the attack of buyers: it will be 下载交易平台II流动版 possible only after there are a breakdown and consolidation below 1.3899, and the test of this level from the bottom up forms a convenient entry 下载交易平台II流动版 point into short positions to reduce to the 下载交易平台II流动版 minimum of the day in the area of 1.下载交易平台II流动版 3843, where I recommend fixing the profits. In the scenario of a lack of activity of sellers in the resistance area of 1.3949, it is best to postpone sales for a rebound from the high of 1.3993 in the expectation 下载交易平台II流动版 of a downward correction of 25-30 points within the day.

Exchange Rates 18.02.2021 analysis

Let me remind you that the COT reports (Commitment of Traders) for February 9 recorded a sharp increase in long non-commercial positions and a reduction in short ones. This led to a fairly large increase in the positive delta. The bulls are making their way to new highs taking advantage of the good news on vaccination in the UK. Last week's report on UK GDP led only to a larger build-up of long positions in the expectation of a strong economic recovery in early 2021. Long non-profit positions rose from the level of 53,658 to the level of 60,513. At the same time, the short non-profit declined from the level of 44,042 to the 下载交易平台II流动版 level of 39,395, which only strengthened the bullish sentiment. As a result, the non-profit net position rose to 21,118, up from 9,616 a week earlier. The weekly closing price was 1.3745 against 1.3675. The fact that the bulls held their positions on such high volatility within 下载交易平台II流动版 the week once again suggests that the pair is 下载交易平台II流动版 set to overcome the annual highs and quickly return to the area of the 40th figure. I recommend betting on further strengthening of the pound. As the quarantine measures are lifted, which are expected to be phased out in February this year, demand 下载交易平台II流动版 for the pound will only increase. In March, we expect news about the support of the population and the UK labor market, which also pushes the pound up now.

Signals of indicators:

Trading is already above 30 and 50 daily averages, which indicates a market turn in the direction of buyers.

Note: The period and prices of the moving averages are considered by the author on the hourly chart H1 and differ from the general definition 下载交易平台II流动版 of the classic daily moving averages on the daily chart D1.

In the event of a decline 下载交易平台II流动版 in the pound, the lower limit of the indicator in the area of 1.3800 will provide support.